Breaking Down the FedEx Cup Chase

This week is the traditional mid-point off-week for the FedEx Cup chase, with play resuming next Thursday in Chicago at the BMW Invitational.

By next Sunday, the field of 70 will be sliced down to just 30, meaning it’s every man for himself to scramble to the TOUR Championship in Atlanta the following week, with a cool $10 million on the line for the top point-getter.

While Jordan Spieth seemed the overwhelming favorite to be that high man on the totem pole entering the post-season, a lot has changed since, with Spieth missing the cut at both the Barclays and the Deutsche Bank Championship to fall behind red-hot Jason Day.

Each tournament victory is worth 2,000 points, meaning as of now any of the top five men in the points standings could move up to No. 1 with a victory in Chicago.

Day is the only man who can guarantee he’ll retain his position by finishing in the Top 10. The real nitty-gritty comes for the men outside the Top 15.

According to the PGA Tour’s website, only the top 17 players in the FedEx standings are considered “Likely” to make the top 30. It’ll be a scramble for the rest, starting with No. 18 Brandt Snedeker, who currently has a 65% chance of making it.

That puts plenty of onus on Louis Oosthuizen, the current No. 30 in the rankings. Oosthuizen has just an 8% of making the top 30 based on computer models.


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